The US Inventory Cycle
The COVID era changed consumer preferences and disrupted US retail [...]
The Inverted Yield Curve – John Mauldin
We’ll start with a quick yield curve update. Much has [...]
Series I Bonds
Series I Bonds are special inflation-adjusted bonds issued by the government. Any [...]
From the FOMC
As expected, the Fed raised rates by 75 bps. [...]
Latest on the US Economy
The U. Michigan 1-year consumer inflation expectations index edged lower [...]
Business Sentiment
We last looked at small business owner sentiment in early [...]
The Bond Market
The bond market is weird, but it’s full of clues. [...]
The Fed – History of How We Got Here
Last Wednesday, I watched a panel of central bankers, including [...]
The Fed – Jerome Powell’s Emphasis
The market is still pricing a 75 bps rate hike [...]
US Economy
The CPI report surprised to the upside again. The headline [...]